Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.007182 0.008382 0.009807 0.011647 0.013999 0.016954 0.021038
2025-06-29 0.005609 0.007044 0.008938 0.011707 0.015807 0.021944 0.032470
2025-07-06 0.004848 0.006397 0.008599 0.012122 0.017981 0.028153 0.049570
2025-07-13 0.004433 0.006091 0.008598 0.012941 0.020982 0.037163 0.079929
2025-07-20 0.004039 0.005724 0.008399 0.013340 0.023361 0.046429 0.123350
2025-07-27 0.003670 0.005328 0.008061 0.013380 0.025031 0.055300 0.182905
2025-08-03 0.003379 0.005011 0.007791 0.013465 0.026829 0.066006 0.281336
2025-08-10 0.003072 0.004625 0.007336 0.013065 0.027323 0.073375 0.395460
2025-08-17 0.002773 0.004219 0.006787 0.012349 0.026757 0.076842 0.506300
2025-08-24 0.002535 0.003894 0.006346 0.011784 0.026429 0.081218 0.670287
2025-08-31 0.002417 0.003769 0.006271 0.012026 0.028528 0.098466 1.279222
2025-09-07 0.002259 0.003558 0.005998 0.011751 0.028957 0.108626 2.097573
2025-09-14 0.002063 0.003272 0.005572 0.011100 0.028192 0.113302 3.235724
2025-09-21 0.001951 0.003136 0.005441 0.011169 0.030011 0.138126 11.172116
2025-09-28 0.001879 0.003066 0.005433 0.011559 0.033280 0.183519 300.475147
2025-10-05 0.001841 0.003056 0.005552 0.012325 0.038684 0.274437 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001777 0.002988 0.005532 0.012698 0.042766 0.382724 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001697 0.002881 0.005410 0.012736 0.045337 0.496962 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001626 0.002787 0.005308 0.012816 0.048297 0.667121 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001537 0.002647 0.005080 0.012442 0.048446 0.773423 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001438 0.002483 0.004780 0.011771 0.046442 0.788101 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001355 0.002345 0.004532 0.011242 0.045118 0.830822 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001317 0.002301 0.004507 0.011469 0.048951 1.245124 NaN